A lot of people have been hyping Jones for the past two years, and he’s been good, but it’s hard putting up big numbers sharing an offense with A.J. Green, Mohamed Sanu, Tyler Eifert and two decent running backs.
Finally breaking away from Cincinnati, Jones gets to replace arguably the best receiver over the past nine season. Jones isn’t that good, but in terms of fantasy, he is replacing a guy that racked up 146 targets per season in his nine-year career.
Considering the targets that Johnson is leaving behind, Jones should step in and be a decent WR2. Also, in my opinion, Matthew Stafford is a better quarterback with a bigger arm than Andy Dalton, and should be able to create better opportunities for Jones to make plays. Johnson’s retirement also opens the door for more action for Golden Tate and Eric Ebron.
I think I’ve written about three articles on Miller since his deal with the Texans and I’m not stopping there! Over the past three years in Miami, Miller has been an underutilized playmaker that was a boom or bust fantasy running back because of his lack of touches. I’m done writing about the past, it’s all about the fantasy goodness that’s about to come for Miller.
As, I wrote already, I fully expect Miller to be the centerpiece of Houston’s offense. I’ve already predicted he’ll be a top-five running back in 2016. He’s going to have zero competition from Alfred Blue and if Bill O’Brien is smart, unlike the coaches in Miami, he’ll feed Miller the ball with no remorse.
After being someone that I’ve avoided like the plague since he entered the league, I guarantee this is the year I wind up overdrafting him.
Last year, Murray looked like a completely different running back after a year in which he touched the ball 449 times. That, coupled with whatever the heck was going on in Philadelphia with Chip Kelly created what wound up being a hugely disappointing fantasy season.
Now on the Titans, Murray will have a clear path to atleast 250 to 300 touches, if he can stay healthy. I’m not expecting huge, earth-shattering numbers like in 2014, but I think Murray will plod his way to 1500 total yards and eight to ten touchdowns.
Coby Fleener & Dwayne Allen
In the 2012 draft, the Colts got cute and drafted Fleener and Allen in the second and third rounds. Since joining the Colts together, neither was really able to do much of anything to become a reasonable fantasy starter except for Fleener’s 2014 season. Allen seemed to always be injured and both dealt with a horrible quarterback situation in 2015.
Now, Allen has the Colts tight end job to himself, and if he can stay healthy, he could have a decent season and catch a few touchdown passes. However, I wouldn’t expect anything better than something along the lines of what we’ve been getting from Heath Miller for the past few seasons.
As for Fleener, he now goes to a team that has been extremely fantasy-friendly to tight ends over the past few years. We all know what Jimmy Graham was able to do and even Ben Watson came back from the dead to catch 74 passes from Drew Brees in 2015.
While I’m not so high on Allen, I think Fleener has an opportunity to be a top-eight fantasy tight end in 2016. After releasing Marques Colston, the Saints don’t have much proven receiving depth behind Brandin Cooks. Because of that, Fleener could slide right in and do exactly what Ben Watson was able to do last year but just a little bit better.
As I’m writing this, the Broncos still have a few days to match C.J. Anderson‘s offer sheet from the Broncos, but I’d don’t think they’ll match. If that’s the case, Hillman could wind up being the primary ball-handler in Gary Kubiak‘s running back friendly offense. Some may be concerned that Kubiak will go RBBC in 2016, but I don’t think the Broncos are in a position to do that. Thanks to free agency and an up in the air QB situation, the Broncos have quite a few holes that they’ll need to fill through the draft. They won’t have the luxury of taking a running back early to challenge Hillman for snaps. Sure, Kubiak could do something crazy and start some random undrafted rookie but I don’t see it happening. In 2016, I expect Hillman to lead the Broncos in carries with Juwan Thompson spelling him on occasion .
*So, the Broncos are going to match the offer sheet, which will once again force a RBBC between Anderson and Hillman. So, I guess Jay Ajayi is the winner now.
A lot of people, myself included, were scratching their heads once Mathews signed with Philadelphia even though they already brought in DeMarco Murray.
Thanks to so many running backs, there was a lot of drama, but it was clear that Mathews was the best of the bunch. He averaged 5.1 yards per carry on 106 carried and racked up seven touches. He missed three games, but he was clearly the best running back when he was on the field.
One would presume that Mathews is going to be starting and getting a ton of touches in Doug Pederson’s new offense, but the question marks with Mathews always revolved around his health. He just can’t seem to stay healthy enough to ever be an accountable fantasy running back.
Still, with Murray gone and the backfield seemingly all to himself, Mathews could redeem himself. Just make sure you draft whoever winds up being his immediate backup as well.
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