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Geno Smith will be the Jets QB in 2015


There seemed to be an assumption that once Chan Gailey was named the Jets offensive coordinator, and Ryan Fitzpatrick was signed that Fitzmagic, not Geno Smith, would be named the starter. The two enjoyed some offensive success during their time on the Bills, but it never materialized into wins.

History aside, it seems that Chan Gailey is going in another direction, and is already naming Geno Smith the quarterback heading into 2015 according to Manish Mehta. It looks like the Amish rifle will be holding the clipboard for Smith at least heading into the season.

For fantasy owners, this is the best case scenario. Gailey’s offense is very quarterback friendly, and Smith has also has the mobility to be a factor in the offense.

It’s easy to look at Geno Smith’s career totals and instantly write him off.

Year Tm GS QBrec Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Y/A Y/G Rate QBR Sk Yds
2013 NYJ 16 8-8-0 247 443 55.8 3046 12 21 6.9 190.4 66.5 35.94 43 315
2014 NYJ 13 3-10-0 219 367 59.7 2525 13 13 6.9 180.4 77.5 35.43 28 175
Career 29 11-18-0 466 810 57.5 5571 25 34 6.9 185.7 71.5 71 490
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/20/2015.

The 57.5 completion percentage is horrible as is the 25 touchdowns to 34 interceptions. However, let’s not forget that Smith has had his fair share of solid performances.

In last year’s week 17 games against the Dolphins, Smith had a perfect QB rating, and completed 20 of 25 passes for three touchdowns. Also, during the last four games of the 2014 season, Smith completed 65.55 percent of his passes for six touchdowns and two interceptions.

If you’ve seen a Jets game the past two years, it’s obvious he made horrible decisions, but it wasn’t always his fault. The offense was generally pretty horrible, and he never had a legitimate receiver until the Jets signed Eric Decker.

Also, it was clear that Rex Ryan and the staff lost confidence in Smith or they knew they were going to lose their jobs so they shook things up by starting Michael Vick. There was always a looming suspicion that Vick would take the job from Smith, which happened, but Smith regained the job. It seemed for the entire season he was being yanked back and forth between being the starter or not.

The key for Smith is whether or not Gailey stays true to his word and actually starts Smith in three months, and how quickly Smith picks up the offense. Fitzpatrick isn’t exactly an NFL QB that should inspire much confidence, but Gailey knows him, and he knows the system. Should Smith falter it wouldn’t be surprising to see him replaced by Fitzpatrick relatively quickly.

Regardless, if all goes swimmingly, and Smith wins the job, like I said, this is an opportunity for fantasy success. Here is what Fitzpatrick did in three years under Gailey, which could be a window to how successful Smith is:

Year Tm GS QBrec Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Y/A Y/G Rate QBR Sk Yds NY/A
2010 BUF 13 4-9-0 255 441 57.8 3000 23 15 6.8 230.8 81.8 48.34 24 145 6.14
2011 BUF 16 6-10-0 353 569 62.0 3832 24 23 6.7 239.5 79.1 50.52 22 148 6.23
2012 BUF 16 6-10-0 306 505 60.6 3400 24 16 6.7 212.5 83.3 44.88 30 161 6.05
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/20/2015.

A lot of interceptions, and somewhat low yard totals, but not too bad. In Smith’s favor, he has a lot more arm talent, speed, and weapons than Fitzpatrick ever had in Buffalo with Chan Gailey.

People should trust Gailey as a coordinator for the Jets, he led C.J. Spiller and Stevie Johnson to their best years, and now he has Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker, and Jace Amaro.

Smith has the opportunity to be a QB worth rostering in standard fantasy leagues, and obviously a must-own in two QB leagues.

Comparing him to the likes of Andy Dalton, Derek Carr, Nick Foles, and Alex Smith, I’d probably rather own Geno Smith. The offense should cater to his strengths leading to a legitimate breakout season.

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Written by Chris

Creator of Bigfoot Sports. When I'm not hunting for Bigfoot I'm usually checking my fantasy team.

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